Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.889403 1.039845 1.207764 1.409078 1.643907 1.909243 2.231924
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.661267 0.864222 1.116783 1.454190 1.893405 2.446244 3.195925
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.526207 0.744664 1.038460 1.462515 2.059492 2.871067 4.060617
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.431563 0.651447 0.966371 1.450354 2.176370 3.226947 4.867075
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.364411 0.581616 0.910072 1.442964 2.287405 3.576990 5.702964
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.317760 0.533047 0.874783 1.456716 2.425140 3.976918 6.662658
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.268290 0.470980 0.807277 1.405815 2.447375 4.191180 7.346263
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.253346 0.463820 0.827599 1.502034 2.725121 4.857505 8.877200
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.219157 0.417317 0.773174 1.458637 2.750696 5.090390 9.673573
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.189617 0.374705 0.719293 1.407416 2.752607 5.277138 10.404741
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.165639 0.339037 0.673094 1.363398 2.760288 5.472198 11.172856
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.152633 0.323059 0.662259 1.386401 2.900775 5.937166 12.532144
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.147863 0.323732 0.685468 1.483557 3.208955 6.783001 14.806489
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.138364 0.313142 0.684406 1.530355 3.419716 7.460264 16.829375
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.126698 0.296032 0.667050 1.539072 3.548599 7.980022 18.580429
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.114817 0.276623 0.641859 1.526272 3.626599 8.396814 20.154241
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.104705 0.259845 0.620255 1.518495 3.714582 8.846366 21.866054
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.097157 0.248128 0.608755 1.532966 3.857038 9.439669 24.005272
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.086385 0.226855 0.571602 1.479403 3.825502 9.614011 25.133310
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.085255 0.230016 0.594724 1.580654 4.197055 10.822079 29.058395
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.076615 0.212231 0.562758 1.534987 4.182660 11.058858 30.480172
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.068541 0.194812 0.529437 1.481088 4.138943 11.214179 31.705735
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.061673 0.179750 0.500376 1.434769 4.109488 11.403297 33.051938